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/r/neoliberal elects the American Presidents - Part 56, Trump v Clinton in 2016
(All strawpoll results counted as of the next post made)
Part 1, Adams v Jefferson in 1796 - Adams wins with 68% of the vote
Part 2, Adams v Jefferson in 1800 - Jefferson wins with 58% of the vote
Part 3, Jefferson v Pinckney in 1804 - Jefferson wins with 57% of the vote
Part 4, Madison v Pinckney (with George Clinton protest) in 1808 - Pinckney wins with 45% of the vote
Part 5, Madison v (DeWitt) Clinton in 1812 - Clinton wins with 80% of the vote
Part 6, Monroe v King in 1816 - Monroe wins with 51% of the vote
Part 7, Monroe and an Era of Meta Feelings in 1820 - Monroe wins with 100% of the vote
Part 8, Democratic-Republican Thunderdome in 1824 - Adams wins with 55% of the vote
Part 9, Adams v Jackson in 1828 - Adams wins with 94% of the vote
Part 10, Jackson v Clay (v Wirt) in 1832 - Clay wins with 53% of the vote
Part 11, Van Buren v The Whigs in 1836 - Whigs win with 87% of the vote, Webster elected
Part 12, Van Buren v Harrison in 1840 - Harrison wins with 90% of the vote
Part 13, Polk v Clay in 1844 - Polk wins with 59% of the vote
Part 14, Taylor v Cass in 1848 - Taylor wins with 44% of the vote (see special rules)
Part 15, Pierce v Scott in 1852 - Scott wins with 78% of the vote
Part 16, Buchanan v Frémont v Fillmore in 1856 - Frémont wins with 95% of the vote
Part 17, Peculiar Thunderdome in 1860 - Lincoln wins with 90% of the vote.
Part 18, Lincoln v McClellan in 1864 - Lincoln wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 19, Grant v Seymour in 1868 - Grant wins with 97% of the vote.
Part 20, Grant v Greeley in 1872 - Grant wins with 96% of the vote.
Part 21, Hayes v Tilden in 1876 - Hayes wins with 87% of the vote.
Part 22, Garfield v Hancock in 1880 - Garfield wins with 67% of the vote.
Part 23, Cleveland v Blaine in 1884 - Cleveland wins with 53% of the vote.
Part 24, Cleveland v Harrison in 1888 - Harrison wins with 64% of the vote.
Part 25, Cleveland v Harrison v Weaver in 1892 - Harrison wins with 57% of the vote
Part 26, McKinley v Bryan in 1896 - McKinley wins with 71% of the vote
Part 27, McKinley v Bryan in 1900 - Bryan wins with 55% of the vote
Part 28, Roosevelt v Parker in 1904 - Roosevelt wins with 71% of the vote
Part 29, Taft v Bryan in 1908 - Taft wins with 64% of the vote
Part 30, Taft v Wilson v Roosevelt in 1912 - Roosevelt wins with 81% of the vote
Part 31, Wilson v Hughes in 1916 - Hughes wins with 62% of the vote
Part 32, Harding v Cox in 1920 - Cox wins with 68% of the vote
Part 33, Coolidge v Davis v La Follette in 1924 - Davis wins with 47% of the vote
Part 34, Hoover v Smith in 1928 - Hoover wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 35, Hoover v Roosevelt in 1932 - Roosevelt wins with 85% of the vote
Part 36, Landon v Roosevelt in 1936 - Roosevelt wins with 75% of the vote
Part 37, Willkie v Roosevelt in 1940 - Roosevelt wins with 56% of the vote
Part 38, Dewey v Roosevelt in 1944 - Dewey wins with 50.2% of the vote
Part 39, Dewey v Truman in 1948 - Truman wins with 65% of the vote
Part 40, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1952 - Eisenhower wins with 69% of the vote
Part 41, Eisenhower v Stevenson in 1956 - Eisenhower wins with 60% of the vote
Part 42, Kennedy v Nixon in 1960 - Kennedy wins with 63% of the vote
Part 43, Johnson v Goldwater in 1964 - Johnson wins with 87% of the vote
Part 44, Nixon v Humphrey in 1968 - Humphrey wins with 60% of the vote
Part 45, Nixon v McGovern in 1972 - Nixon wins with 56% of the vote
Part 46, Carter v Ford in 1976 - Carter wins with 71% of the vote
Part 47 - Carter v Reagan v Anderson in 1980 - Carter wins with 44% of the vote
Part 48, Reagan v Mondale in 1984 - Mondale wins with 55% of the vote
Part 49, Bush v Dukakis in 1988 - Bush wins with 54% of the vote
Part 50, Bush v Clinton v Perot in 1992 - Clinton wins with 71% of the vote
Part 51, Clinton v Dole in 1996 - Clinton wins with 91% of the vote
Part 52, Bush v Gore in 2000 - Gore wins with 88% of the vote
Part 53, Bush v Kerry in 2004 - Kerry wins with 89% of the vote
Part 54, Obama v McCain in 2008 - Obama wins with 90% of the vote
Part 55, Obama v Romney in 2012 - Obama wins with 85% of the vote
This will be a fairly consistent weekly thing - every week, a new election, until we run out.
I highly encourage you - at least in terms of the vote you cast - to try to think from the perspective of the year the election was held, without knowing the future or how the next administration would go. I'm not going to be trying to enforce that, but feel free to remind fellow commenters of this distinction.
If you're really feeling hardcore, feel free to even speak in the present tense as if the election is truly upcoming!
Whether third and fourth candidates are considered "major" enough to include in the strawpoll will be largely at my discretion and depend on things like whether they were actually intending to run for President, and whether they wound up actually pulling in a meaningful amount of the popular vote and even electoral votes. I may also invoke special rules in how the results will be interpreted in certain elections to better approximate historical reality.
While I will always give some brief background info to spur the discussion, please don't hesitate to bring your own research and knowledge into the mix! There's no way I'll cover everything!
- Hillary Clinton is the 69-year-old Democratic candidate and the former Secretary of State. Her running mate is US Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine.
- Donald Trump is the 70-year-old Republican candidate and the Chairman of The Trump Organization. His running mate is Indiana Governor Mike Pence.
- There has never a major party candidate in history quite like Donald Trump. Trump is a famous business mogul, primarily involved with real estate, who has existed as a living archetype of a super rich person for decades. His fame was heightened with the NBC reality TV show The Apprentice, which he hosted. In 2000, he sought the nomination of Ross Perot's Reform Party. Following this, he was a registered Democrat until 2009. Starting as early as the competitive primary he took part in, he has become known for controversial statements and proposals, including:
- In December 2015, Trump called "for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country's representatives can figure out what is going on." More recently, he has pivoted to supporting a ban on immigration from countries which "export terror" combined with "extreme vetting" of immigrants.
- In July 2015, regarding Senator John McCain, Trump said, "He’s a war hero because he was captured. I like people that weren’t captured, OK?"
- Also in July 2015, he gave out Senator Lindsay Graham's cell phone number to viewers of a rally.
- During the primary, he said of Carly Fiorina, one of his competitors, "Look at that face! Would anyone vote for that?"
- At a February 2016 primary debate, he said, "I would bring back waterboarding. And I’d bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding."
- On the unemployment rate, Trump said, "the number’s probably 28, 29, as high as 35. In fact, I even heard recently 42 percent."
- Asked on a morning show who his foreign policy consultants are, he said, "I’m speaking with myself, number one, because I have a very good brain and I’ve said a lot of things."
- One of the most recent things that put Donald Trump in the news prior to his run for President was starting in 2011 when he questioned without evidence whether President Obama was born in the United States. He claimed to have sent investigators to Hawaii and said, "I have people that actually have been studying it and they cannot believe what they're finding." Trump also falsely claimed that Obama was secretly a Muslim. Following Obama's release of his long-form birth certificate, Trump claimed that an "extremely credible" source had contacted him to say the certificate was a fraud. He continued these claims until September of this year, when he acknowledged President Obama was born in the United States.
- One of the issues that Trump has focused his campaign on is immigration, especially illegal immigration. In his 2015 announcement speech, he said:
When Mexico sends its people, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.Trump's plan for immigration is to build a wall along the southern border of the United States and "have Mexico pay for it," which his campaign says will be achieved by Trump threatening to cut off the flow of remittances from the US to Mexico. Hillary Clinton supports comprehensive immigration reform to "treat every person with dignity, fix the family visa backlog, uphold the rule of law, protect our borders and national security, and bring millions of hardworking people into the formal economy."
- This year, conservative Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia died unexpectedly in his sleep. Senate Republicans quickly asserted that the seat should not be filled until after the presidential election. Nonetheless, President Obama nominated moderate Judge Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court. Senate Majority Mitch McConnell has, with the support of the vast majority of his caucus, blocked any hearings on the nomination. This means Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton will likely nominate a Supreme Court Justice as one of their first actions in office, though Senators Cruz and McCain have raised the possibility of blocking any nominee from Clinton as well.
- In 2015, the Obama Administration announced the culmination of many years of negotiations to produce a trade liberalization agreement among twelve Pacific nations (notably excluding China) known as the TPP or Trans-Pacific Partnership. Hillary Clinton has supported free trade agreements in the past but not long after the final TPP text was released, she said the deal did not meet her standards. Trump has taken a more aggressive stance on the issue of trade and often brought it up on the campaign trail. Trump intends to not only withdraw from the TPP but renegotiate NAFTA and withdraw from NAFTA if a renegotiation is not agreed to, use the threat of tariffs to remedy trade disputes with China, and label China a currency manipulator.
- Just a month ago, the Washington Post published a 2005 video of a conversation between Donald Trump and television host Billy Bush on a bus on the way to film an episode of Access Hollywood. Describing an attempt to seduce Bush's co-host, Trump said:
I moved on her, and I failed. I'll admit it. I did try and fuck her. She was married. And I moved on her very heavily. In fact, I took her out furniture shopping. She wanted to get some furniture. I said, "I'll show you where they have some nice furniture." I took her out furniture—I moved on her like a bitch. But I couldn't get there. And she was married. Then all of a sudden I see her, she's now got the big phony tits and everything. She's totally changed her look.Describing an actress who they were to meet, Trump said:
I better use some Tic Tacs just in case I start kissing her. You know I'm automatically attracted to beautiful—I just start kissing them. It's like a magnet. Just kiss. I don't even wait. And when you're a star, they let you do it. You can do anything. Grab 'em by the pussy. You can do anything.Trump has apologized and said he is not proud of his words, but has also downplayed the seriousness of the remarks, calling them "locker room banter" and regularly pivoting to criticism of the behavior of Hillary Clinton's husband, former President Bill Clinton.
- Following the video, Trump's words were condemned by many, including many Republicans. Several Republican Senators including Kelly Ayotte, Mark Kirk, Mike Lee, Mike Crapo, John McCain, Cory Gardner, Lisa Murkowski, Ben Sasse, and John Thune have either withdrawn their support for Donald Trump or called for Pence to replace Trump at the top of the GOP ticket. Some of these individuals have softened their stance more recently.
- At least 24 women have accused Trump of sexual misconduct spanning 30 years. Many of the accusations involve groping women without their permission. Trump denies the accusations.
- Since 2011, Syria has been in a complex civil war. Bashar al-Assad's government continues to fight against a number of opposition groups, some aligned with each other and some not. Also involved in the conflict is the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, typically referred to as ISIS, an extreme Salafist proto-state controlling territory primarily in Syria and Iraq. In 2014, the Obama Administration led an international coalition in beginning direct targeted intervention against ISIS, primarily via airstrikes and supplying some of the entities fighting ISIS.
- Hillary Clinton's plan for Syria and fighting ISIS is to establish a no-fly zone and on-the-ground safe zones to protect noncombatants, intensify the current air campaign, and offer more meaningful support for Kurdish allies.
- Donald Trump has said that Hillary Clinton's proposed no-fly zone would start a third world war, has criticized Hillary Clinton and the Obama Administration for allegedly telegraphing their military plans ahead of time publicly, and has been less critical of Assad than Clinton, emphasizing, "Syria is fighting ISIS."
- While leaving a 9/11 event, Clinton stumbled and slumped as she attempted to enter a vehicle to leave early, raising questions about Clinton's health. Her doctor has since said that she was treated for pneumonia and that she became dehydrated at the event. She has fully recovered.
- Donald Trump has offered significant positive sentiment over the years regarding Russian President Vladimir Putin, at one point in 2013 tweeting, "will he become my new best friend?" During the campaign, he has said he would "get along very well" with Putin. When an interviewer brought up Putin allegedly ordering the killings of journalists, Trump said, "at least he's a leader, unlike what we have in this country ... I think our country does plenty of killing also." Russia has been under condemnation and new sanctions from major players in the international community the last couple years following its 2014 annexation of Crimea. Trump does not have a clear stance on Crimea.
- This year, the Democratic National Committee as well as Clinton Campaign Chair John Podesta were hacked and had tens of thousands of emails stolen. These emails were given to Wikileaks which proceeded to leak the emails of the DNC (and Podesta) to the public in batches.
- The US Intelligence Community has concluded that the Russian government is behind the hacks, saying:
The U.S. Intelligence Community (USIC) is confident that the Russian Government directed the recent compromises of e-mails from US persons and institutions, including from US political organizations. The recent disclosures of alleged hacked e-mails on sites like DCLeaks.com and WikiLeaks and by the Guccifer 2.0 online persona are consistent with the methods and motivations of Russian-directed efforts. These thefts and disclosures are intended to interfere with the US election process. Such activity is not new to Moscow—the Russians have used similar tactics and techniques across Europe and Eurasia, for example, to influence public opinion there. We believe, based on the scope and sensitivity of these efforts, that only Russia's senior-most officials could have authorized these activities.
- Even with the concerning origins, the content of the emails has been featured in a significant amount of media coverage, even making its way into multiple debate questions. Some of the DNC emails implied a breach of strict neutrality during the primary by the DNC, leading to the resignation of the DNC Chair and a formal apology to Bernie Sanders. Some of the Podesta emails suggested that Donna Brazile had attempted to give town hall questions in advance to the Clinton campaign on at least a couple of occasions.
- Possibly the most discussed content from the email leaks is the collection of transcripts of a few of Clinton's paid speeches primarily to financial firms. One of the most discussed excerpts has been:
That, I think, has probably been true for all of our history, and if you saw the Spielberg movie, Lincoln, and how he was maneuvering and working to get the 13th Amendment passed, and he called one of my favorite predecessors, Secretary Seward, who had been the governor and senator from New York, ran against Lincoln for president, and he told Seward, I need your help to get this done. And Seward called some of his lobbyist friends who knew how to make a deal, and they just kept going at it. I mean, politics is like sausage being made. It is unsavory, and it always has been that way, but we usually end up where we need to be. But if everybody's watching, you know, all of the back room discussions and the deals, you know, then people get a little nervous, to say the least. So, you need both a public and a private position. And finally, I think -- I believe in evidence-based decision making.Another much-discussed excerpt has been:
My dream is a hemispheric common market, with open trade and open borders, some time in the future with energy that is as green and sustainable as we can get it, powering growth and opportunity for every person in the hemisphere.
- The US Intelligence Community has concluded that the Russian government is behind the hacks, saying:
- As Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton used a private email server rather than using official State Department email infrastructure. In May of this year, the State Department Inspector General released a report stating that Clinton "did not comply with the Department's policies." In 2014, Clinton's Chief of Staff instructed Clinton's computer services provider to, following the archival and preservation of all work-related emails, allow all other 31,830 emails to be automatically deleted. Following a subpoena from the Select Committee on Benghazi, a technician at Clinton's computer services provider realized he had never actually deleted the emails, and then proceeded to delete them. Donald Trump has repeatedly in speeches and debates referenced the "30,000 emails," asking about what is in them and why they were deleted.
- In 2015, based on a referral from the State Department inspector generals, the FBI began investigating how classified information was handled in the context of Clinton's email server. Clinton has said with regard to her personal server, "I never sent or received any classified material." In July of this year, James Comey announced the conclusion of the FBI investigation, saying, "although there is evidence of potential violations of the statutes regarding the handling of classified information, our judgment is that no reasonable prosecutor would bring such a case." He also said there is evidence that Clinton and her team were "extremely careless in their handling of very sensitive, highly classified information."
- In a July news conference, Trump said, "Russia, if you’re listening — I hope you are able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press. Let’s see if that happens."
- In the context of an FBI probe of former Congressman Anthony Wiener's alleged sexting with an underage girl, new emails to and from Hillary Clinton during her time as Secretary of State were discovered. This was announced in a letter from James Comey on October 28th to Congress committee chairs, and was widely interpreted that day as a "reopening" of the Clinton emails investigation. However, just two days ago, on November 6th, Comey sent another letter stating that the FBI had reviewed all the relevant communications and that "we have not changed our conclusions that we expressed in July."
- At a September fundraising event, Clinton made the following comments:
You know, to just be grossly generalistic, you could put half of Trump's supporters into what I call the basket of deplorables. Right? They're racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic – you name it. And unfortunately, there are people like that. And he has lifted them up. He has given voice to their websites that used to only have 11,000 people – now have 11 million. ... Now, some of those folks – they are irredeemable, but thankfully, they are not America.Clinton has since expressed regret for saying specifically that "half" of Trump's supporters are deplorable. The Trump campaign and Trump himself have sharply criticized Clinton for the comments, and many of Trump's supporters have reappropriated the "deplorable" label for themselves.
But the other basket ... that other basket of people are people who feel the government has let them down, the economy has let them down, nobody cares about them, nobody worries about what happens to their lives and their futures; and they're just desperate for change. It doesn't really even matter where it comes from. They don't buy everything he says, but – he seems to hold out some hope that their lives will be different. They won't wake up and see their jobs disappear, lose a kid to heroin, feel like they're in a dead-end. Those are people we have to understand and empathize with as well.
- In 2005, Donald Trump launched "Trump University," which ceased operations in 2011 amid scandal and complaints. Even since then, it has been the focus of multiple lawsuits. In June of this year, Trump made the unsubstantiated claim that Judge Gonzalo Curiel has "an absolute conflict" in litigation related to Trump University because he is "of Mexican heritage."
(1) Clinton on tax policy:
We also, though, need to have a tax system that rewards work and not just financial transactions. And the kind of plan that Donald has put forth would be trickle-down economics all over again. In fact, it would be the most extreme version, the biggest tax cuts for the top percent of the people in this country than we've ever had. I call it trumped-up trickle-down, because that's exactly what it would be. That is not how we grow the economy.(2) Trump on trade:
You go to New England, you go to Ohio, Pennsylvania, you go anywhere you want, Secretary Clinton, and you will see devastation where manufacture is down 30, 40, sometimes 50 percent. NAFTA is the worst trade deal maybe ever signed anywhere, but certainly ever signed in this country.(3) Clinton on Russian cyberattacks:
I know Donald's very praiseworthy of Vladimir Putin, but Putin is playing a really tough, long game here. And one of the things he's done is to let loose cyber attackers to hack into government files, to hack into personal files, hack into the Democratic National Committee. And we recently have learned that, you know, that this is one of their preferred methods of trying to wreak havoc and collect information. We need to make it very clear—whether it's Russia, China, Iran or anybody else—the United States has much greater capacity. And we are not going to sit idly by and permit state actors to go after our information, our private-sector information or our public-sector information.(4) Trump on Russian cyberattacks:
As far as the cyber, I agree to parts of what Secretary Clinton said. We should be better than anybody else, and perhaps we're not. I don't think anybody knows it was Russia that broke into the DNC. She's saying Russia, Russia, Russia, but I don't—maybe it was. I mean, it could be Russia, but it could also be China. It could also be lots of other people. It also could be somebody sitting on their bed that weighs 400 pounds, OK? You don't know who broke in to DNC. But what did we learn with DNC? We learned that Bernie Sanders was taken advantage of by your people, by Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Look what happened to her. But Bernie Sanders was taken advantage of. That's what we learned.Vice-Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(no excerpts provided)
Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall) (full transcript)
(1) Trump on the Access Hollywood tape:
Yes, I'm very embarrassed by it. I hate it. But it's locker room talk, and it's one of those things. I will knock the hell out of ISIS. We're going to defeat ISIS. ISIS happened a number of years ago in a vacuum that was left because of bad judgment. And I will tell you, I will take care of ISIS.(2) Clinton responding to Trump claim that she attacked Bill Clinton's accusers:
Well, first, let me start by saying that so much of what he's just said is not right, but he gets to run his campaign any way he chooses. He gets to decide what he wants to talk about. Instead of answering people's questions, talking about our agenda, laying out the plans that we have that we think can make a better life and a better country, that's his choice. When I hear something like that, I am reminded of what my friend, Michelle Obama, advised us all: When they go low, you go high.(3) Trump on Clinton's emails:
You know, it's amazing. I'm watching Hillary go over facts. And she's going after fact after fact, and she's lying again, because she said she—you know, what she did with the e-mail was fine. You think it was fine to delete 33,000 e-mails? I don't think so. She said the 33,000 e-mails had to do with her daughter's wedding, number one, and a yoga class. Well, maybe we'll give three or three or four or five or something. 33,000 e-mails deleted, and now she's saying there wasn't anything wrong.(4) Clinton on health care:
So I want very much to save what works and is good about the Affordable Care Act. But we've got to get costs down. We've got to provide additional help to small businesses so that they can afford to provide health insurance. But if we repeal it, as Donald has proposed, and start over again, all of those benefits I just mentioned are lost to everybody, not just people who get their health insurance on the exchange. And then we would have to start all over again.(5) Trump on immigration:
ICE just endorsed me. They've never endorsed a presidential candidate. The Border Patrol agents, 16,500, just recently endorsed me, and they endorsed me because I understand the border. She doesn't. She wants amnesty for everybody. Come right in. Come right over. It's a horrible thing she's doing. She's got bad judgment, and honestly, so bad that she should never be president of the United States. That I can tell you.(6) Clinton/Trump exchange on the rule of law:
CLINTON: ... I told people that it would be impossible to be fact-checking Donald all the time. I'd never get to talk about anything I want to do and how we're going to really make lives better for people.(7) Trump on one positive thing he respects about Clinton:
Stro, once again, go to HillaryClinton.com. We have literally Trump—you can fact check him in real time. Last time at the first debate, we had millions of people fact checking, so I expect we'll have millions more fact checking, because, you know, it is—it's just awfully good that someone with the temperament of Donald Trump is not in charge of the law in our country.
TRUMP: Because you'd be in jail.
I will say this about Hillary. She doesn't quit. She doesn't give up. I respect that. I tell it like it is. She's a fighter. I disagree with much of what she's fighting for. I do disagree with her judgment in many cases. But she does fight hard, and she doesn't quit, and she doesn't give up. And I consider that to be a very good trait.Third Presidential Debate (full transcript)
(1) Clinton on whether the Wikileaks excerpts suggest she wants open borders:
Well, if you went on to read the rest of the sentence, I was talking about energy. You know, we trade more energy with our neighbors than we trade with the rest of the world combined. And I do want us to have an electric grid, an energy system that crosses borders. I think that would be a great benefit to us.(2) Trump on Putin:
I never met Putin. This is not my best friend. But if the United States got along with Russia, wouldn't be so bad. Let me tell you, Putin has outsmarted her and Obama at every single step of the way. Whether it's Syria, you name it. Missiles. Take a look at the "start up" that they signed. The Russians have said, according to many, many reports, I can't believe they allowed us to do this. They create warheads, and we can't. The Russians can't believe it. She has been outsmarted by Putin.(3) Clinton on her experience versus Trump's:
But I think it's really an important issue. He raised the 30 years of experience, so let me just talk briefly about that. You know, back in the 1970s, I worked for the Children's Defense Fund. And I was taking on discrimination against African-American kids in schools. He was getting sued by the Justice Department for racial discrimination in his apartment buildings. In the 1980s, I was working to reform the schools in Arkansas. He was borrowing $14 million from his father to start his businesses. In the 1990s, I went to Beijing and I said women's rights are human rights. He insulted a former Miss Universe, Alicia Machado, called her an eating machine.(4) Trump on the Clinton Foundation:
It's a criminal enterprise. Saudi Arabia giving $25 million, Qatar, all of these countries. You talk about women and women's rights? So these are people that push gays off business—off buildings. These are people that kill women and treat women horribly. And yet you take their money. So I'd like to ask you right now, why don't you give back the money that you've taken from certain countries that treat certain groups of people so horribly? Why don't you give back the money? I think it would be a great gesture.(5) Clinton on the Clinton Foundation:
Well, very quickly, we at the Clinton Foundation spend 90 percent—90 percent of all the money that is donated on behalf of programs of people around the world and in our own country. I'm very proud of that. We have the highest rating from the watchdogs that follow foundations. And I'd be happy to compare what we do with the Trump Foundation, which took money from other people and bought a six- foot portrait of Donald. I mean, who does that?
Read the full 2016 Republican platform here.
Read the full 2016 Democratic platform here.
First Presidential Debate
Second Presidential Debate (Town Hall)
Third Presidential Debate
Trump anti-Clinton "Change" ad
Trump anti-Clinton "Corruption" ad
Trump anti-Clinton "Deplorable" ad
Clinton anti-Trump "Role Models" ad
Clinton biographical ad w/ Morgan Freeman
Clinton "Fighting for You" ad
[OC] Breaking down "Real" vs "Fake" assists
What is assist? Assist is a pass that leads directly to a made basket. However, I realized that sometimes that directly means after a couple of dribbles, or after a pull up jump shoot, and so on... So in another words, assist is a relatively loose term when we observe NBA in comparison to basketball in Europe (FIBA actually).
That inspired me to take a look at play by play data at official NBA site and try to split the assists in two categories. "Real" vs "Fake" assists.
Real assists are basically counted for baskets made directly after a pass, or after one dribble. But they can be defined as "easy" shots as well. Based on NBA's classification of shot types, I considered these types of shot as the ones which came from "Real" assists:
Alley Oop Dunk Shot, Alley Oop Layup shot, Cutting Dunk Shot, Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot, Cutting Layup Shot, Dunk Shot, Jump Bank Shot, Jump Shot, Layup Shot, Hook Shot, Reverse Dunk Shot, Reverse Layup Shot, Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot, Running Alley Oop Layup Shot, Running Dunk Shot, Running Finger Roll Layup Shot, Running Jump Shot, Running Layup Shot, Running Pull-Up Jump Shot, Running Reverse Layup ShotOn the other hand, "Fake" assists are counted for baskets made after some "creation" after the pass. Meaning that often times, player pulls up for a jumper after a couple of dribbles or drives to the hoop after a dump off at the top of the key. These are the shot types which came from "Real" assists:
Driving Dunk Shot, Driving Finger Roll Layup Shot, Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot, Driving Floating Jump Shot, Driving Hook Shot, Driving Layup Shot, Fadeaway Jump Shot, Floating Jump shot, Pullup Jump shot, Step Back Jump shot, Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot, Turnaround Hook Shot, Turnaround Jump ShotNow this data is often misclassified and not exact, but I figured it would be good enough for an approximation of who has more "real" or "fake" assists.
An example of data not being "that good" is this pull up jumper by Avery Bradley. Even though this is classified as Pull Up Jumper and hence placed in "fake" assist section, LeBron put in solid effort to "create" a shot for Bradley. That is the main purpose of this post, to try to figure out who creates the easiest shoot by looking at these "fake" and "real" assists.
The results can be visible in this chart. The players included are top 20 players in assists per game in regular season. I think the results of the chart are expected. Jokić plays a lot with Murray and Harris who drive/pull up for shots. Same can be said for Brogdon (Oladipo + Warren) and Dame (CJ + Melo).
On the other side we have Russ, who creates a bunch of shots for players in corners, and those shots are usually just regular "Jump Shots", same can be said about Trae Young and Dončić who pull a lot of defending players on themselves, allowing them for easy dump off to cutting players or those on 3pt line.
PS. As mentioned multiple times through the post, data isn't exact and entirely correct, so all of this is approximation and shouldn't be taken that seriously, but it does give a nice look of how players/teams play around their main playmakers.